WE WISH WE’D BEEN ALL WRONG … (HEADLINE HEALTH) In an Oct 16, 2017 post, Headline Health predicted that the very lethal plague that has swept over the island nation of Madagascar would escape via international air.
Specifically, we predicted the exact city it would threaten – Nairobi, Kenya.
Today comes word that our sobering prediction has been officially confirmed by the World Health Organization and Nairobi news agencies.
Madagascar’s pneumonic plague, which has so far killed 123 and left 1,300 or more infected, is a super-strain which is even more infectious and deadly than infamous the Bubonic Plague of the 14th century, reports The Daily Express (UK).
The World Health Organization calls it the ‘deadliest and most rapid form of plague’.
In early October, several news agencies reported that an isolated case of plague had island-hopped from Madagascar to Seychelles.
However to the best of our knowledge, only Headline Health pinpointed Nairobi as the likely unreported air link.
And here’s the thing – while flights in and out of plague-infested Madagascar are relatively few, Nairobi is a major international hub with nonstop service to London, Paris, Istanbul, Cairo, Dubai, and Bangkok, among others.
This places potentially infected passengers from Kenya a mere 20 hours from New York’s JFK International Airport.
The transportation infrastructure for a global outbreak of pneumonic plague is in place. It cannot – and will not – be shut down.
The best options open to individuals who wish to avoid this potential pandemic are to avoid international airports, international travelers, and places those travelers congregate.
See below for the recent post from Nairobi …
Kenya Faces Deadly Plague Outbreak, WHO Warns
(November 2, 2017, Nairobi News Agencies)
Kenya is among nine other countries that have been put on alert after a deadly outbreak of airborne plague left more than 1,300 cases being reported in Madagascar.
The World Health Organization (WHO) has revealed two thirds of those are suspected to be pneumonic – described as the ‘deadliest and most rapid form of plague’.
The outbreak is considered a much bigger threat to the region than in previous years because it has taken on its pneumonic form – meaning it is airborne and spread by sneezing and coughing.
Pneumonic can spread through coughing and can kill within 24 hours. The lethal form currently spreading is different to the bubonic strain which was behind history’s Black Death.
The deadly disease is caused by the same bacteria that wiped out at least 50 million people in Europe in the 1300s.
Mozambique, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Comoros and Mauritius are the five other countries to have received the heightened alert.
The outbreak is moving quickly, with several British holiday hot spots now deemed at risk of the epidemic spreading, including Seychelles, South Africa and La Reunion.
It has been reported that as many as 50 aid workers are believed to have been among the people infected.
The African branch of the WHO states 93 people have lost their lives to the disease so far, lower than the 124 noted in official UN figures.
“The risk of the disease spreading is high at national level… because it is present in several towns and this is just the start of the outbreak,” a WHO official said.
Displayed with permission from allAfrica.com via Repubhub. Previously: BBC: Plague Threatens 20 Mil. Residents of Island Nation